Since 2008, Rajasthan’s politics has gone beyond routine elections—marked by mass protests, internal rebellions, administrative reshaping through new districts, and a final leadership reset. For years, power alternated between Congress and BJP, but beneath this cycle, shifts were underway.Movements like the Gujjar agitation, former deputy chief minister Sachin Pilot’s rebellion, and the creation of 19 new districts under Ashok Gehlot changed the political landscape.By 2023, the BJP’s return with Bhajan Lal Sharma as a new face marked not just a power shift, but a deeper transformation of how Rajasthan’s politics operates.2008: When The Streets Took OverThe first big jolt came in May–June 2008, when the Gujjar reservation agitation reached its peak. Led by Kirori Singh Bainsla, the protests turned violent—railway tracks were blocked, highways shut, and large parts of the state came to a halt. The agitation led to 37 deaths, including that of a policeman, and dozens were injured as clashes intensified in areas like Bharatpur and Dausa. The Army had to be called in to restore order, a move that forced the govt’s hand. A 5% reservation under the Special Backward Class (SBC) category was promised—but the issue kept resurfacing over the next decade, showing how powerful street mobilisation had become in shaping policy.2008, 2013, 2018 & 2023: The Familiar CycleRajasthan’s politics has long followed a pattern of alternating govts. In 2008, Congress, led by Ashok Gehlot came to power, beginning another phase of the cycle. By 2013, the tide turned decisively as BJP, under Vasundhara Raje, swept the state with 163 seats. The pattern repeated in 2018, when Congress returned with 100 seats and Gehlot became chief minister for the third time. However, this tenure saw visible internal tensions between Gehlot and Sachin Pilot. Continuing the cycle, the BJP regained power in 2023, reinforcing Rajasthan’s reputation for keeping up the revolving-door policy while electing govts.2020: Crisis from WithinThat tension exploded in July 2020. In one of the biggest political crises in the state, Sachin Pilot and 18 MLAs rebelled against their own Ashok Gehlot-led Congress govt. They moved to Manesar, demanded a leadership change, and pushed the govt to the brink. Pilot was eventually removed as deputy CM, but the message was clear—the biggest threat to govts was no longer the opposition, but internal dissent. The instability didn’t end there. In Sept 2022, another flashpoint emerged when Congress MLAs resisted a leadership change proposed by the party high command. Rajasthan had, in many ways, become the centre of Congress’ internal power struggle.New Players, New EquationsWhile the two main parties were busy managing crises, new political forces were quietly expanding their base.The Rashtriya Loktantrik Party (RLP), founded in 2018 by Hanuman Beniwal, tapped into Jat discontent and began influencing outcomes in key regions. Its role in alliances—especially around the 2024 Lok Sabha elections—showed how regional players could no longer be ignored. Then came the Bharat Adivasi Party (BAP) in 2023, led by Rajkumar Roat. The party gave voice to tribal concerns—reservation, neglect, and even demands for a separate Bhil Pradesh. With four MLAs and one MP, it signalled a deeper political awakening in southern Rajasthan.2023: Redrawing the StateIn March 2023, Chief Minister Gehlot announced one of the biggest administrative changes in Rajasthan’s history—the creation of 19 new districts, formally notified in August 2023. Districts like Anupgarh, Balotra, Beawar, Deeg, Didwana-Kuchaman, and Neem ka Thana were carved out, taking the total from 33 to 50. In Dec 2024, the successive BJP govt scrapped nine of these 19 districts, reversing the total to 41. On paper, it was about governance—bringing administration closer to people. Politically, it reshaped local power dynamics across regions like Shekhawati, Mewat, Hadoti, and the tribal belt.2023 Election: Same Pattern, New TurnThe Nov 2023 Assembly election followed Rajasthan’s familiar pattern. The BJP returned to power with 115 seats, while Congress dropped to 69. But what followed broke the old script.December 2023: A New Face, A New PhaseOn December 12, 2023, the BJP chose Bhajan Lal Sharma—a first-time MLA—as chief minister. For nearly two decades (2003–2023), Rajasthan politics had revolved around two towering figures—Gehlot and Raje. Sharma’s appointment marked a clear shift away from that era. It also reflected a deeper strategy. From leaders like Bhairon Singh Shekhawat to Raje, the BJP traditionally relied on strong, recognisable faces. This time, it chose a relatively low-profile leader—signalling tighter central control and a move away from personality-driven politics.
